Persona: González Sánchez, Mariano
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0000-0002-8255-9478
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González Sánchez
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Mariano
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Publicación Effects of uncertainty and risk aversion on the exposure of investment-style factor returns to real activity(Elsevier, 2020) Nave Pineda, Juan M.; Rubio Irigoyen, Gonzalo; González Sánchez, MarianoHow do uncertainty and risk aversion affect the behavior of investment-style factors? We argue that a significant channel through which both uncertainty and risk aversion impact aggregate risk factors is the exposure of factor returns to real activity. We analyze this issue using mixed data sampling decomposition of the sensitivity of factor returns to real activity into high- and lowfrequency components. We find a positive and significant relation between uncertainty and risk aversion for the low-frequency component of the sensitivity of factor returns to economic activity. More importantly, risk aversion significantly amplifies the effects of uncertainty on real activity exposure. The quality-based factor is an important exception to these findings.Publicación Where is the distribution tail threshold? A tale on tail and copulas in financial risk measurement(Elsevier, 2023) Nave Pineda, Juan M.; González Sánchez, MarianoEstimating the market risk is conditioned by the fat tail of the distribution of returns. But the tail index depends on the threshold of this distribution fat tail. We propose a methodology based on the decomposition of the series into positive outliers, Gaussian central part and negative outliers and uses the latter to estimate this cutoff point. Additionally, from this decomposition, we estimate extreme dependence correlation matrix which is used in the measurement of portfolio risk. For a sample consisting of six assets (Bitcoin, Gold, Brent, Standard&Poor-500, Nasdaq and Real Estate index), we find that our methodology presents better results, in terms of normality and volatility of the tail index, than the Kolmogorov–Smirnov distance, and its unnecessary capital consumption is lower. Also, in the measurement of the risk of a portfolio, the results of our proposal improve those of a t-Student copula and allow us to estimate the extreme dependence and the corresponding indexes avoiding the implicit restrictions of the elliptic and Archimedean copulas.Publicación Exploration of multiple asset investment opportunities based on pair trading(AIMS Press, 2025-12-09) González Sánchez, Mariano; Nave Pineda, Juan M.; Ruiz Rincón, JavierThe financial literature on pair trading shows that Johansen's methodology is the most consistent for finding long-term cointegrated assets. Previous work has either looked for cointegrating relationships of total assets when it was feasible to identify them or has only analyzed pairwise relationships. We present a bottom-up analysis of the possible cointegrating relationships among assets to search for the most profitable strategies. On monthly prices of stocks (Eurostosxx-50), we find that cointegration relationships go beyond two assets, have volatile behavior, and different terms. Both short-term and long-term investments show returns higher than the benchmark index.