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Fecha
2025-12-09
Derechos de acceso
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Título de la revista
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editorial
Elsevier
Citas
Resumen
Low-carbon hydrogen is considered the missing link of the energy transition, especially in hard-to-abate industrial sectors, storage and sustainable mobility, and a key component of EU's plans for both post-COVID recovery programs and decoupling from Russian hydrocarbons. Germany is the member State deploying a more active hydrogen diplomacy to secure H2 imports to accelerate its H2 transition and replacing grey H2 with low-carbon H2. The article assesses the feasibility of Germany's H2 transition by 2030 in a context of high uncertainty by evaluating four alternative H2 import policy pathways: a market pathway focused on minimising costs, a geoeconomic pathway prioritising EU producers and neighbours (nearshoring), a geopolitical pathway aimed at securing imports from allies (friendshoring), and a sustainable pathway focusing on green hydrogen and renewables (greenshoring). The article proposes an innovative modelling design that assesses Germany's H2 transition by integrating stochastic simulations and combinatorial optimisation to project realistic trade scenarios with (or despite) high levels of uncertainty. It tries to complement the existing techno-economic literature on low-carbon hydrogen trade with a beyond-cost approach. The results shed light on the supply implications of the different policy dimensions included in Germany's H2 import strategy. Unexpectedly, prioritising the environmental and climate dimension through greenshoring would attain similar results in covering German import demand as a pure market approach, and both scenarios obtain better results than prioritising proximity and geopolitics.
Descripción
The registered version of this article, first published in “Energy Policy, Vol. 210, 114973", is available online at the publisher's website: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114973
La versión registrada de este artículo, publicado por primera vez en “Energy Policy, Vol. 210, 114973", está disponible en línea en el sitio web del editor: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114973
La versión registrada de este artículo, publicado por primera vez en “Energy Policy, Vol. 210, 114973", está disponible en línea en el sitio web del editor: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114973
Categorías UNESCO
Palabras clave
Citación
Gonzalo Escribano, Juandiego Paredes-Gazquez, Enrique San-Martín González, German hydrogen import pathways: checking reality under uncertainty, Energy Policy, Vol. 210, 114973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114973
Centro
Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
Departamento
Economía Aplicada